According to USDA-FAS GAIN Report MX2024-40 released on September 4th, Mexico will post a 2.5 percent increase in domestic production to 4.09 million metric tons in 2025. This volume will be supplemented by 970,000 metric tons of imported RTC chicken, a one percent increase over the previous year. Total exports are inconsequential amounting to 5,000 metric tons. Domestic consumption, assuming a population of 128 million will attain 39.5 kg per capita (86.8 lbs.).
The current disease situation in Mexico contributes to acceptable livability and growth rate. In recent years regional outbreaks of HPAI have occurred but these were suppressed by application of vaccination. Biosecurity is constantly improved with a trend towards separation of breeders and grow-out operations. Approximately 85 percent of poultry, predominately chickens are processed in federally inspected establishments with 121 in operation. Expansion in 2025 is driven by lower feed prices, improvements in the economy resulting in increased demand and a higher level of integration.
For the first half of 2024, Mexico received 358,912 metric tons of chicken products from the U.S. valued a $455 million representing stability in volume but with a 14 percent increase in total value attributable to a unit price of $1,265 per metric ton compared to $1,110 for the corresponding first half of 2023. During the first six months of 2024, Mexico represented 21.8 percent of U.S. export volume and 20.3 percent of export value for chicken.